Archive: August, 2025

August 20, 2025

Summing up the bubble prognosis

By Roger Montgomery

For the last month or two, I have been writing with increasing frequency about the possibility of the stock market boom transitioning into a bubble. There are a variety of reasons for this, and they usually fall under two broad headings. The first is technical and the second is behavioural.
August 19, 2025

Temple & Webster: doubling down on growth with a clear path to $1 billion and higher margins

By Roger Montgomery, Roger Montgomery

Temple & Webster’s (ASX:TPW) financial year 2025 (FY25) results underline a business scaling rapidly in two markets still in the early innings of digital disruption. Revenue rose 21 per cent to $601 million, capped by a 28 per cent June surge that has flowed into FY26, where year-to-date (YTD) sales (1 July–11 August) are also up 28 per cent.
August 18, 2025

Cochlear’s financial year 2025 results and outlook

By Roger Montgomery

Cochlear’s financial year 2025 (FY25) results delivered a steady, if unspectacular, performance that broadly aligned with the company’s June guidance reset.  Revenue came in at $2. 34 billion, consistent with market expectations following the downgrade, while underlying net profit landed at $392 million – the low end of the revised $390-400 million range.
August 15, 2025

Is the equity boom entering a bubble phase?

By Roger Montgomery

There’s some early evidence the equity boom is entering a bubble phase. Bubbles can last and keep inflating for a long time. Missing out can be costly, but predicting the exact moment of a bubble’s demise is a waste of time. So, the right strategy isn’t prediction but rebalancing and a little tactical asset allocation.
August 15, 2025

Telstra financial year 2025: the turnaround is turning

By Roger Montgomery

While Telstra’s share price is up about 80 per cent since the lows of Covid in 2020, the shares are trading at about where they were in 2003, and they are down 26 per cent from their 2015 highs and 45 per cent lower than their all-time highs in 1999.
August 14, 2025

Rolls-Royce’s nuclear innovation

By Roger Montgomery

In a significant step toward revolutionising clean energy production, Rolls-Royce Small Modular Reactors (SMR) has inked a pivotal Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Czech engineering powerhouse Škoda JS. At the heart of the initiative is Rolls-Royce’s innovative 470 megawatt-electric (MWe) pressurized water reactor design.
August 12, 2025

JB Hi-Fi – You’ve done it again!

By Roger Montgomery

JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX:JBH), stamped its leadership on Australia and New Zealand’s retail landscape again, delivering impressive financial year 2025 (FY25) results, and demonstrating exceptional resilience across its portfolio of brands – JB Hi-Fi, The Good Guys, and the recently acquired E&S.
August 11, 2025

QBE’s strong half year results

By Roger Montgomery

QBE Insurance Group (ASX:QBE), a top 10 company in the portfolios of The Montgomery Fund and The Montgomery [Private] Fund, has delivered an impressive 2025 first-half result, significantly outperforming analyst expectations across key metrics. Bolstered by strong investment income, favourable underlying prior-year claims development (PYD), and below-budget catastrophe (CAT) claims, QBE’s results underline its operational strength and strategic progress.

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