Investor Insights

April 28, 2023

Ausbiz: Why Roger' bullish on Transurban

By Roger Montgomery

In this interview with Ausbiz Roger discusses two companies we believe have bright prospects ahead including Transurban (ASX:TCL) and Alliance Aviation services (ASX:AQZ). Roger emphasizes Transurban’s ability to secure substantial debt at very low rates, with 96.8 per cent of its debt book having interest hedging in place.

April 11, 2023

Ausbiz: Looking for growth

By Roger Montgomery

In this interview with Ausbiz Roger shares his views on the current economic landscape and its effect on interest rates. Markets typically boom in the early stages of a recession and recover as people begin to look towards the future. Will small caps begin to outperform large caps and will growth companies catch up to defensives?

April 5, 2023

ABC Nightlife: Interest rates left on hold

By Roger Montgomery

Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss the Reserve Bank giving mortgage borrowers a reprieve, if only temporarily, by leaving interest rates on hold at the April board meeting. After ten consecutive rate rises, the RBA opted to wait and see how the economic data plays out amid early signs that the increase in rates so far is starting to weigh on consumer spending and lower inflation. What is predicted further ahead for the economy?

March 30, 2023

Crisis, contagion or QE? The bigger picture

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for Firstlinks Roger discusses the current U.S. regional banking industry crisis. Many investors are concerned SVB and Credit Suisse are the 2023 equivalent of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, the 2008 poster children of the GFC. However, fears of a repeat are misplaced for several reasons.

March 24, 2023

Ausbiz: Risk of bank contagion in Australia overrated

By Roger Montgomery

Roger joined Ausbiz to discuss the ripples that have been sent through the global financial system from the instability in U.S. and European banks. How high is the risk of contagion, is it over stated? Find out why Roger believes the problems seen with Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank are unique to the individual banks.

March 20, 2023

ABC Nightlife: Economic growth but financial headwinds ahead?

By Roger Montgomery

Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss what to make of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse. Since 2008 banks have been operating in a world of ultra-low interest rates and periodic injections of electronic cash from central banks. What are the ramifications on our world markets?

February 17, 2023

Ausbiz: How to separate yourself from the market’s distracting noise?

By Roger Montgomery

With an inflation rate of 6.4 per cent, the U.S. economy is still experiencing inflation, making Gold, Real Estate, Commodities and high fixed cost, cyclical producers investments worthy of consideration.  But that inflation rate is coming down.  It’s not uncommon for markets to fall amid fear an ‘event’ might occur and then rally when the event does occur. In my conversation with ausbiz we cover how the U.S. economy is growing, which means we are on the right-hand, ‘boom’, side of the matrix. 

February 10, 2023

ABC The Business: Can the stock market rally continue?

By Roger Montgomery

Roger joined Kathryn Robinson on ABC The Business to discuss current market conditions. With sharemarkets rallying around the world, does this make economic sense and can the rally be sustained? Meanwhile, predictions of recession leave investors in fear about company earnings growth.  
February 8, 2023

ABC Nightlife: Future performance

By Roger Montgomery

Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss whether historical trends and precedents can help guide you in the future. Discussing the issues weighing on financial markets and if there could be a bull market happening this year. In the very worst years, when the market fell between 30-50 per cent, after those years what we find is that the pendulum then swung almost completely the other way.

 

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